Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Trade Review WTW

Oprah just keeps on giving and giving.  This WTW has been an awesome trader the past couple months.  Now I unfortunately wasn't able to get all I wanted out of this trade due to work, I do want to review the chart.

Before we get into the intraday chart.  Lets take a look at the bigger picture.  To be honest I have zero idea what caused this stock to start popping from its recent decent.  I just saw "Oprah, WTW, blah blah blah" on my twitter feed.  But here is why this trade worked on a technical level.


Here is a 30 minute chart of WTW.  This stock had plenty of room to move.  Interestingly enough, todays first initial move in the first 30 minutes stopped on what I call baby resistance.  There were sellers here but it wasn't going to be something that would cause the stock to fail there.  The stock built for another hour or so and then took out the highs.  And is we can see it had room to 24- at bigger resistance, which it ultimately failed at.

On an intraday look we see two beautiful flag patterns with small risk.  These little wicks below the 9ema was my signal to get in and use the bottom of the wick as my risk.  The stock moved relatively clean to my overall target of 24.  It sucks I couldn't get all of that move but I took what I could.

This ladies and gentlemen is an example of a chart we want to play.  It has a catalyst and room to move on a bigger time from.  This is how you line up on multiple time frames.  Stocks move from support to support and resistance to resistance.  These are the plays  I plan to up my risk for.  Because of how smooth they move.

If you have any questions about anything please feel free to email me JDN6832@gmail.com

Sunday, December 27, 2015

Watch-List 12/28/2015

Looking to end 2015 with a bang.  As always I will be watching many stocks from @Szaman list.  http://bullsonwallstreet.com/trading-watch-list-12-28-2015/

Here are a few others









Saturday, December 19, 2015

Having a bias going into trade (WTW trade review)

One of the biggest mistakes I think most traders make is focusing solely on intraday patterns.  While the intraday action is important, if the overall picture does not support this, you are just trading chop.  And chop will kill your account.  I know this because it has been a problem of mine.  A problem that I have been working hard to correct.  I had an "a ha" moment yesterday after talking with a good friend of mine about this subject.  I'll summarize what we spoke about.

Going into the day, before the market even opens, we should be able to look at a chart and easily be able to identify whether this is a long or a short.  If you can't determine it, you probably should not be trading that stock.  This is why making a watch list the night before is so important.  From your watch-list, you should have a bias on the stock entering the day.  Whether it be long or short.  Okay, so you have your bias and the opening bell rings.  Let the stock make its initial (often emotional) move.  A stock will normally tell you what it is going to do after that.  I stick with my bias unless the stock does something to prove it wrong.  I'll give you an example of what my friend said about this (I hope he doesn't mind me using his words)  "you need to think of it (the stock) like a story...you see WMB bias was short...we agreed with that.. if its going to be a long you want the f-er to reallllly prove to you that it is gonna reverse your bias...then you look at the action...it has a mixed first candle then second candle is green but doesnt show much strength, third candle says....ahh F this i'm weak....and thats when you pounce on it bc your bias was short and it just confirmed it.  thats what g/r is...a story lol of the stock trying but f-ing up and going down

Here is an example of my trade from 12/18/2015


Here is the daily going into Friday before the bell.  My bias was short, I think we can all agree with that.  So I let the stock open and here is how it played out.


The stock collapsed at the open.  From there it bounced and was rejected at the vwap.  These both confirmed my bias.  I now had my set risk.  From there I took my entry within the pattern.  Stock then ORB'd.  I then covered some.  The stock pulled back and created a bear flag so I re-entered.  WTW was a short on the daily and it trended down all day.  

This is what we are as day traders.  We are trend traders.  The stock should have a clear bias on what the trend is.  I get into trouble and lose when I trade something that is not clear.  At that point its just a 50/50 shot.  And with a 50/50 shot in a choppy chart, I tend to get chopped out.  

The lesson:  Find charts with clear trend and hammer them.  If you are asking yourself "Is this a long or a short"  find another stock.