Sunday, May 21, 2017
Thursday, May 18, 2017
Wednesday, April 19, 2017
Revised Trading plan as of 4/16/2017
My trading plan
Swing Trading:
My entries come from the pullback/flag set-up and a reversal set-up at a support or resistance.
The pullback set-up is when the stock corrects via price. This would be when a stock breaks a key level for a period of days and revisits the upper portion of this price level.
A few examples of this would be:
Price can also correct via time. This would consist of a longer flag pattern using key moving averages as guides. Key short term moving averages that I use are the 9 and 20 daily exponential moving averages. Followed by the medium 50 day moving average and the 200 day moving average. For the most part, my entries come from the 9 and 20 emas. These are the most important to gage the short term momentum.
My all-time favorite, nicknamed the Red Dawg Reversal, is a test of a previous support or resistance that knifes through, and quickly recovers. This offers a very low risk with high reward. The average r/r is about 5 to 1 but I have gotten upwards of 20 to 1 with my last shares.
Day trading:
Although the list taught to me is lengthy, I mainly focus on one intraday set-up. That is the pullback set up. On occasion, I will take an opening range break-out or a red to green trade if the chart is that good.
Before getting into the intraday set-ups, it is important to go over the stock selection. A random stock will act just that, randomly. A stock has to have the room and momentum to move “correctly” By this I mean, there should be room on the chart for the stock to move. There should be no or limited overhead resistance or underlying support. Examples of this would be a daily breakout/breakdown of a key pivot level or a stock gapping up/down on news or earnings. These two things bring momentum into a stock and act the way I was taught. This is the art of aligning on multiple time frames. I use the daily and 30 minute chart to identify key levels and the 5 and 15 minute chart to time entries.
The same general rules apply to day trading the pullback set up as it does with swing trading. The only big difference is VWAP is used. After the stock’s initial thrust, I look for a pullback/consolidation using key moving averages to time entires. I wait for a candle or wick to confirm that support or resistance has held and use the bottom of the candle or wick as my stop out.
Below are a few examples:
Gapper example:
Daily: http://prnt.sc/ec5pq2
Intraday: http://prnt.sc/ec5qlu
Breakdown example:
Daily: http://prnt.sc/caehu9
30 minute: http://prnt.sc/caei4z
5 minute: http://prnt.sc/caejq3
Breakout example:
Daily: http://prntscr.com/exwy2a
5 minute: http://prntscr.com/exx0ks
Opening range break:
Red to green:
Daily: http://prntscr.com/exx6bl
15 minute: http://prntscr.com/exx7ah
Sunday, March 12, 2017
Watch-list for week of 3/13/17
The timing of a pullback, paired with a 20 SMA bounce and jobs report was perfectly orchestrated. We'll see if we get any follow action starting on Monday. I noticed many individual stocks seemed to be acting weak in comparison to the overall market. IWM continues to lag which could be an indicator of things to come. I have many more break down watches than the SPY would suggest.
Wednesday, March 1, 2017
Scaling in and out. How to take advantage of momentum
Oh Oprah, thank you for providing many opportunities to trade your stock. WTW's daily chart gave me many reasons to keep an eye on it today. 1. It gapped up (momentum) 2. It broke out of a years base (room to move on the chart) 3. Stock has a history of going on monster moves intraday
With my case built on the daily, I waited patiently for an intraday pattern. I was a little weary on when to enter., but when I saw a dip to VWAP hold (cough cough, Jon Schrager) I had to get in on the ORB.
Here is a look at the intraday pattern with details of what I saw and what caused me to get in.
Like all my lessons before, this stock showed momentum, and built on top of levels. each pullback gave a defined place to risk against.
Here are my entries. Each line represents where my risk was to
Hope to have a video to follow about this trade.
Sunday, February 26, 2017
Monday, February 20, 2017
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